American Public Education Stock Performance

APEI Stock  USD 43.40  0.85  1.92%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, American Public holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.69, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, American Public's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Public is expected to be smaller as well. Please check American Public's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether American Public's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Public Education are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, American Public demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.11)
Five Day Return
2.41
Year To Date Return
22.41
Ten Year Return
185.85
All Time Return
23.19
1
Can Strides Margin Focus Outweigh Its Flat Revenue Per Pupil
12/30/2025
2
American Public Education, Inc. Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue
01/13/2026
3
American Public Education, Inc. to Participate in The Oppenheimer 11th Annual Emerging Growth Conference
01/20/2026
4
SG Americas Securities LLC Invests 723,000 in American Public Education, Inc. APEI
01/22/2026
5
How A New Price Target Is Shaping The Story For American Public Education
01/27/2026
6
American Public Education, Inc. Receives 40.57 Average Price Target from Brokerages
01/30/2026
7
American Public Education, Inc. Hits Fresh High Is There Still Room to Run
02/02/2026
8
Disposition of 11697 shares by Angela Selden of American Public at 42.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
9
Are investors undervaluing American Public Education right now - MSN
02/06/2026
10
Disposition of 14224 shares by Angela Selden of American Public at 44.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
11
Rasmussen University Opens New Orlando Campus, Expanding Florida Footprint
02/12/2026
12
ROKUs Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Increase YY
02/13/2026
13
APEI or LINC Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow144.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-21.1 M

American Public Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,480  in American Public Education on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  860.00  from holding American Public Education or generate 24.71% return on investment over 90 days. American Public Education is currently generating 0.3868% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.9214% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than American, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Public is expected to generate 2.58 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.58 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

American Public Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 43.40 90 days 43.40 
about 9.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Public to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.26 (This American Public Education probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Public has a beta of 0.69. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Public Education will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Public Education has an alpha of 0.3425, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Public Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1528.0648.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.5245.4347.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.9543.8645.78
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.0146.1751.25
Details

American Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Public Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
3.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

American Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Public Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: APEI or LINC Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now

American Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments131.9 M

American Public Fundamentals Growth

American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Public, and American Public fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.

About American Public Performance

By evaluating American Public's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into American Public's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if American Public has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American Public has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 19.38  17.20 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.11 

Things to note about American Public Education performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Public Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: APEI or LINC Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now
Evaluating American Public's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Public's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Public's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Public's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Public's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Public's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Public's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Public's stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Public's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Public's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Public's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running American Public's price analysis, check to measure American Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Public is operating at the current time. Most of American Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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